CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-06-27T20:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-06-27T20:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25752/-1
CME Note: Wide but faint asymmetrical possibly partial halo CME in the NE in both coronagraphs, seen at start and end in FOV of COR2A before and after the nighttime data gap. Likely source is a slow developing dimming NE of AR 3354 (N15E13) in AIA 193 and EUVI A 195 after 2023-06-27T20Z and a faintly seen filament eruption happening at the same time in AIA/EUVI A 304. Arrival signature is very weak. It is characterized by separation of magnetic field components, as well as an increase in speed and magnetic field intensity from 4 nT to 8 nT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-06-30T11:20Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-07-01T02:52Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 79.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.33333 - 5.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -13377.60 hour(s)
Difference: -15.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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